The situation in Nairobi is explosive. Kenyan police have fired tear gas at protesters gathered outside the US embassy. The anger is directed at a controversial US plan to impose mandatory quarantine for travellers from Ebola-affected regions.
The move has been branded a 'colonial power grab' by local politicians. Inside the UK embassy, diplomats are scrambling. Sources tell me a backchannel mediation offer has been made to both sides.
Whitehall is nervous. They see this as a potential flashpoint that could destabilise a key ally. The UK's position is delicate.
They must balance public health concerns with their post-Brexit need for trade partnerships. The PM's office is monitoring closely. They know that any misstep could inflame anti-Western sentiment across the continent.
The protesters are not backing down. They see the US plan as discriminatory. They have a point.
The science doesn't support blanket quarantines. But politics is not about science. It's about perception.
And the perception here is that the West is once again imposing its will on Africa. The UK's offer of mediation is a smart move. It positions them as a neutral broker, committed to global health security without the heavy hand of Washington.
But will it work? That depends on whether the US is willing to compromise. US diplomats are currently 'reviewing' the situation.
That's diplomatic code for 'we have no idea what to do.' The next 48 hours are critical. The PM will want to appear decisive but not reckless.
Expect a carefully worded statement from Downing Street later today. The game is afoot.
