The fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran is holding, but not because of diplomacy. Sources deep inside the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps confirm what the talking heads in Washington won't say: Tehran has blinked. They have backed down from direct confrontation with the West, at least for now.
Let's be clear. This is a tactical retreat. Iran's economy is bleeding. Sanctions have squeezed the life out of their oil revenues. The street protests that erupted after the downing of Flight PS752 were a warning. The regime knows they cannot sustain a prolonged war. So they have chosen to live to fight another day.
But don't mistake this for peace. This is a pause. A chance to regroup. Uncovered documents from the Ministry of Intelligence show that Iran has accelerated its ballistic missile programme in secret. They are buying time.
On the American side, the administration is spinning this as a victory. But the real winners are the defence contractors who have been raking in billions for the Patriot systems and the naval deployments. They will keep the money flowing. The tension will remain high.
What happens next? Iran will use proxy forces. Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, Shia militias in Iraq. They will test the West's resolve without risking a full-scale war. And if the ceasefire holds for a few months, the pressure will shift to Europe. European companies will clamour to get back into the Iranian market. The US will have to either double down on sanctions or watch its coalition fracture.
This is not the end. It is the beginning of a more covert war. A war of assassinations, cyber attacks, and economic subversion. The ceasefire is just the cover for the next act.
Sources in Vienna, where the International Atomic Energy Agency keeps its files, confirm that Iran has not halted its enrichment of uranium to near weapons-grade levels. They are biding their time. The West is distracted by the ceasefire narrative. They are not watching the centrifuges.
And in the Gulf, the real power brokers are watching. Saudi Arabia and Israel are already planning for a future where Iran has a nuclear weapon. They will not rely on American promises. They will act unilaterally if they feel threatened.
The ceasefire headlines are a victory for the propagandists. The battlefield has just shifted. I will keep following the money and the bodies. Because in this game, nothing is ever over.
